Yannick Oswald is a partner at European venture capital firm Mangrove Capital Partners, best known for its investments in companies such as Wix, Skype, Walkme and K Health. Photo: Mangrove Capital Partners

Yannick Oswald is a partner at European venture capital firm Mangrove Capital Partners, best known for its investments in companies such as Wix, Skype, Walkme and K Health. Photo: Mangrove Capital Partners

In this guest contribution, Yannick Oswald from Mangrove Capital Partners talks about Apple’s presentation of its Vision Pro.

What a week! The one and only Zlatan retires from soccer, news around , the same leader got elected in Turkey for a fifth mandate, critical came out, and yes, there is ‘one more thing’... Apple announced the launch of its first AR product, , at WWDR some days ago. Or the ‘first Apple product your look through, not at…’

Talking to entrepreneurs this week, this is clear: Since the launch of the iPhone in 2007, this is the first time there has been genuine excitement around a new tech hardware product. The data from Consumer insights companies also suggests that the launch has been received very positively so far. The tech community seems to be (of course) more skeptical than the general public though. Here are the results of I ran on Twitter this week.

My take: This product launch is much bigger than most anticipate

The keyboard is finally dead… and your voice, eyes, and hands are replacing it. Four years ago, : ‘.’ And this is exactly what is happening here. Just a year earlier. The product has a real shot at replacing laptops and keyboards for many use cases. Finally, I don’t have to sit awkwardly with my laptop on my lap anymore on flights or in the evening when writing this blog post on my couch...

This is really the first user experience (UX) where you interact with software just by looking at it (can’t wait to try the eye-tracking!), talking to it, or moving your fingers and/or body. And this is anywhere in space. It reminded me of . The new application use cases that will emerge will be abundant. Not surprisingly, apps have been the hottest topic post the announcement. These dreams are what gets people so excited. Only a radically new UX can do this. While AI is huge, . Crypto was always difficult to understand for most people at first (and second) sight... This is different.

Themes of interest. Source: Talkwalker

Themes of interest. Source: Talkwalker

The vision pro killed the metaverse. One of my first reactions when discovering the product was: ‘Finally, a transparent and high-quality AR product.’ While I love an immersive UX with no keyboard, I never wanted to live in a virtual metaverse filled with avatars... And, like me, I think most people prefer the real world to a fake one. At least, I do hope so.

While other AR/VR headsets mostly have gaming use cases, Apple did not address those at all. They thought differently: How to blend software as much as possible with our real lives. As a result, the UX focuses on much broader use cases: productivity and other forms of entertainment such as movies or reliving memories in 3D. And Disney gave us a small glimpse into what 3D or spatial entertainment could look like… Apple wants to set itself apart from the other players in the space. And, looking at the adoption of those devices, the picture looks rather bleak. Apple is carving out its own product language: Spatial computing, not AR or VR. A smart, strategic move.

The number of virtual/augmented reality headsets has outnumbered iPhones over the years. Sources: eMarketer/Counterpoint

The number of virtual/augmented reality headsets has outnumbered iPhones over the years. Sources: eMarketer/Counterpoint

Let’s have a look at some criticisms I have heard people mentioning around me.

These googles look so odd. I will never wear those…

This was my first reaction as well. Will I walk around outside wearing them? Probably not that often, at first... But, let’s stop lying to ourselves. People found mobile phones weird as well. Today it is the most normal thing to pick up your phone anywhere. Looking at a screen all day might be better sometimes, but often it is not. The UX is just less good for many use cases.

This is only the first version of the product. These googles will get smaller and look less like ski googles as time goes by.

Is it too expensive? No, not in the future.

Not surprisingly, when discovering the price point. Apple’s stock fell slightly after the headset was unveiled as they considered the device unaffordable to most people. And they are right, today.

This argument reminds me of Steve Ballmer’s statement in 2007 when the iPhone was released: Nobody will ever buy an iPhone, this is far too expensive...

Yes, the Vision Pro price point is hefty, but history tells us that it will come down over time. .

This headset will always only be a nice-to-have.

Who wants to wear these things all the time? ‘Not only is it uncomfortable, but also you get a headache.’ As mentioned in this 2020 post ‘,’ the traditional hardware products are already becoming nice-to-have’s.

For Apple, it is all about its services business (powered by its app store platform) and, secondly, its wearables. Launching another killer product like the Vision Pro will only boost the depth and extent of its app platform. The effortless utilisation and transition between devices increase the use cases and reach with every new product launched. If it becomes a massive product hit à la iPhone, even better for them and startups. The way the product was introduced this week, it certainly looks like Apple is betting on both.

It will be interesting to see how the product will be received by consumers. And how the competition will react to this. Until then, instead of trying to downplay these incredible tech innovations, let’s enjoy the good news (we need more of those these days) and think about what kind of new businesses could be built in the future. Because they will be…

Last weekend, I visited the Elliott Erwitt exhibition in Paris with my wife. I didn’t know the artist, even though I was familiar with some of his art pieces. If in town, I highly recommend you go and have a look too. His life story, sense of humour, and fantastic art are an excellent experience… A copy of one of these pics is now hanging in my office...

Life is awesome.

*Yannick is a partner at leading European venture capital firm Mangrove Capital Partners, best known for its investments in companies such as Wix, Skype, Walkme and K Health. Yannick supports tech start-ups across Europe and sits on the board of some of Europe's biggest tech start-ups, such as Flo Health, Sifflet and Red Points. In 2020, he launched his blog  with the tagline Opportunities Everywhere, which has become Europe's most widely read VC blog and a key resource for the continent's technology entrepreneurs. He publishes one article a month, usually on a topic related to venture capital and technology entrepreneurship. Yannick grew up in Luxembourg City, has worked in several European countries and the US, and graduated as a commercial engineer in Belgium and Argentina.