When assuming there will be no second wave of infections in 2020, gross domestic product is currently expected to be down by 6 percent on last year.

Should we encounter a ‘double-hit’ scenario however, this is forecast to increase to a 7.6 percent drop.

Adding further context, the OECD writes: “The COVID-19 pandemic is a global health crisis without precedent in living memory. It has triggered the most severe economic recession in nearly a century and is causing enormous damage to people’s health, jobs and well-being.” 

As this infographic shows, when looking at the ‘single-hit’ scenario, no country is projected to be hit harder than the United Kingdom. There, a fall of 11.5 percent is being predicted. The initial epicenter, China, is expected to go far more unscathed with a decrease of just 2.6 percent. The United States is somewhat in the middle of the pack with a 7.3 percent reduction.

Luxembourg’s GDP was forecast to shrink -6.5% under a single-hit scenario or -7.7% under a double-hit scenario.

Originally published by Statista. Figures for Luxembourg were added by Delano.